Trevor so far falls short of massive rain event forecast

James Nason, 25/03/2019

MANY hopes were pinned on Cyclone Trevor delivering game-changing rain for the Northern Territory and western Queensland but despite whipping up a frenzy of expectation the system has delivered more fizz than fireworks so far.

Parts of Central Queensland are expected to see rainfall towards the end of next week as Tropical Cyclone Trevor pushes the rain towards the coast from the west.

Like an overweight prop in the opening match of the season Trevor built up a big head of steam before charging into the NT Gulf Coast on Saturday afternoon, but quickly ran out of puff after the first contact.

That’s not to say the Category Four system died in a heap completely, with the depression created in its wake providing welcome rain in some areas where it was genuinely needed, including falls of over 100mm across several stations east of Alice Springs.

However the resulting rain has been confined to a narrower corridor and in patchier totals than forecasts suggested was likely last Friday.

In the desperately dry Barkly region, where totals of at least 100mm were needed to make a serious difference to grass growth and stock water, measurements peaked at around 50mm, with most stations recording far less.

Weekend totals reported to Beef Central so far those morning include around 25mm at Alexandria Station, 7mm at Brunette Downs, 2.6mm at Newcastle Waters and nil at Barkly Downs.

The system is still moving east and is expected to track across Queensland’s western and southern interior in coming days, with Weatherzone’s Ben Domensino pointing to models suggesting its remnants  could still deliver falls of more than 200mm to those regions between now and Thursday, which, if delivered, would indeed be game-changing.

Flood watches have been issued in Queensland’s western Gulf Country, Channel Country and parts of the Warrego and Maranoa catchments.

Further west, Tropical Cyclone Veronica was still lingering offshore between Port Hedland and Karratha this morning, generating rainfall totals of around 100mm to properties close to the Pilbara coast.


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  1. mark driscoll, 26/03/2019

    Don’t worry too much Charles. Apparently their long term forecasts ( 40-70years) are much more accurate!

  2. Charles Nason, 25/03/2019

    This happened in the last rainfall event
    The elders site was much more realistic
    Note this time elders has downplayed it again
    What is going on with BOM?
    Remember their 2014 winter forecast. They were not a bit out , it did not rain at all!
    And last year was supposed to be an average year!
    Too much depends on accurate forecasts, we need to get it right

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