Rainfall is likely to be above average for parts of the east and below average for parts of the north and west
Rainfall is likely to be above average (60% to 80% chance) for northern Cape York Peninsula, south-eastern Queensland and much of inland New South Wales.
Rainfall is likely to be below average (60 to 70% chance) for much of western and northern Western Australia, and central parts of the Northern Territory.
Elsewhere, there is no clear signal for either wetter or drier conditions, meaning there are roughly equal chances of above or below average rainfall.
From October to December, northern Australia typically experiences increasing storms and showers as the wet season advances. Tropical Australian rainfall typically peaks in the January to March period.
The chances of above average rainfall are highest during November, with above average rainfall being likely for far northern Australia, and much of Queensland, inland New South Wales and north-east South Australia.
Outlook video
Warmer than average days and nights likely across most of Australia
Maximum temperatures are likely to be above average (60% to over 80% chance) across most of Australia.
For parts of coastal New South Wales, maximum temperatures have around an equal likelihood of being above or below the average.
There is an increased chance of unusually high maximum temperatures1 (over 50% chance) in central Victoria, Tasmania, and northern Australia.
Minimum temperatures are very likely to be above average (over 80% chance) across most of Australia.
There is an increased chance of unusually high minimum temperatures1 (over 50% chance) across northern and eastern Australia, with the strongest chances across northern Australia (60% to over 80% chance).
1Unusually high maximum and minimum temperatures are those in the warmest 20% of November to January days and nights, respectively, between 1981 and 2018.
COMPARISON: Previous three-month outlook versus actual rainfall received
August to October 2025 rainfall outlook (issued 31 July 2025):
August to October 2025 rainfall deciles:
Source: BOM