Seasonal climate outlook for Dec 14-Feb 15

Beef Central, 27/11/2014

Click on image above to view video presentation of BOM’s seasonal climate outlook for summer.


A drier than normal summer is more likely over northern, eastern and central Australia according to the Bureau of Meteorology’s latest three monthly seasonal climate outlook statement released this morning.

The chances of receiving media rainfall are rated just 25-30pc for the Kimberley region of WA, the NT, Queensland, northern and eastern SA, NSW, and eastern Victoria.

Over southern Tasmania, a wetter than usual summer is slightly more likely.

Elsewhere, the chances of a wetter or drier summer are roughly equal.

The December monthly outlook shows a drier than normal month is more likely over the northern half of Australia.

Climate influences include El Niño-like conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean, and average to cooler than average waters surrounding northern Australia.

Outlook accuracy for summer rainfall is moderate to high over most of WA, northern and eastern Queensland, and eastern NSW; low over southeast WA, the Top End of the NT, western SA, and western NSW; and very low elsewhere. Caution should be exercised in these areas of low skill.

For December, a drier than normal month is more likely over the northern half of Australia, with the chances of a wetter or drier December roughly equal over most of the south.

The summer temperature outlooks indicate a warmer than normal season for both days and nights across most of the Australian mainland, except parts of the west and southeast.

Click on below images to view maps in larger format



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