Property: Has NT market peaked? Recent sales suggest confidence still strong

Beef Central, 06/09/2017

Table 1 – Click on charts to view in larger format.

Table 2

Although the general perception for the NT pastoral market is that things may have peaked, there are still sales taking place that suggest strong confidence in the northern beef industry’s foreseeable future, says Herron Todd White’s Frank Peacocke.

Writing in Herron Todd White monthly review for September, released this afternoon, Mr Peacocke said one recent sale and three sales currently in advanced stages of negotiation reflected ongoing market confidence.

Conways Station (1,392 square kilometres) located on the Central Arnhem Road 180 kilometres eastnorth-east of Katherine has contracted for close to the $9 million (walk in walk out) asking price.

The property, which borders Arnhem Land to the north, had been on the market since around January 2016 initially asking around $9.3 million walk in walk out with approximately 4,500 head and a small amount of plant. The property is reportedly under contract for sale to an Australian based company.

“We understand that the purchaser is investing in the property primarily for its pastoral use and did not place significant value on the property’s tourism/ hunting business opportunity,” Mr Peacocke said.

“The existence of the carbon credit contract in place (reportedly capable of generating between $70,000 and $100,000 profit per annum) reportedly positively influenced the purchase price. This is a strong sale and by our estimations of current carrying capacity would push the $/AE above $1,700.”

Meanwhile Mr Peacocke said Herron Todd White was aware of another three large scale northern cattle stations (ie. 20,000 AE + carrying capacity) that are at advanced stages of negotiations for sale.

“While there appears to be a wider range of value levels ($/AE) being paid for smaller scale cattle stations in the north of the NT (mainly due to the amplifying effect that every additional dollar spent has on the $/AE over a smaller carrying capacity – see Table 1) these larger scale sales, if they occur, should give us a better indication on where values currently sit, particularly now that cattle prices have come off the boil (refer Table 2).”

Source: Herron Todd White


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