SE Asia Report

SE Asia Report: El Nino moves from forecast to fact as the region starts pricing it in

NOAA has declared an El Nino, formed in June and tipped to strengthen into 2027, and across Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines governments have moved from watching to spending | A dry year’s feed and disease stress lands on the part of the Indonesian trade already squeezed between a capped feedlot price and dearer Australian cattle | Manila is building home-grown foot-and-mouth and swine fever vaccine capability…Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 17/07/2026

SE Asia Report: Vietnam trade draws fresh interest | China recognises Brazil as FMD free

The big news this month came from outside the region, China recognising the whole of Brazil as free of foot-and-mouth disease and opening the world’s largest beef market fully to the world’s largest beef exporter. The reason it matters here is twofold…Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 11/06/2026

SE Asia Report: Falling Darwin feeder numbers offer Indonesia’s squeezed lotfeeders a first glimpse of relief

Vietnam seeks emergency approval to import SAT-1 FMD vaccines as cross-border disease risk rises | Indonesian meat processors continue to lobby for their 2026 private beef quota to be restored from 30,000 to 180,000 tonnes | Sea freight stays under pressure, with Singapore bunker fuel at USD 850/mt still nearly double January’s USD 480/mt…Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 22/05/2026

SE Asia Report: The cheap protein challenge reshaping Southeast Asia’s beef markets

Post-Eid prices stay high, margins crushed | Zero tariff proposal draws fierce industry opposition | SAT-1 FMD threat tightens Thai cattle border | Australia dominates beef imports, US trade deal looms..Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 21/04/2026

SE Asia Report: Global competitors continue to make inroads into Southeast Asia’s beef markets

Brazil and Canada are expanding market access in Southeast Asia as regional buyers diversify beef supply | Indonesia continues enforcing Ramadan beef price caps as cattle prices hold around IDR 55,000/kg liveweight | Tight cattle supply and wet season conditions are limiting availability into Darwin despite strong export demand…Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 11/03/2026

SE Asia Report: Indonesian government cap threatens Australian live feeder price

Australian live feeder prices have now pushed above Indonesia’s effective government price cap | Indonesia again carried the bulk of 2025 volumes, but the Philippines and new breeder markets added welcome depth | Rising feeder prices are pushing exporters to focus more heavily on higher-margin breeder and dairy cattle…Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 10/02/2026

SE Asia Report: Indonesia looks to Brazil, but logistics long way from viable

Indonesia continues exploring Brazilian feeder cattle | Vietnam meat imports rising amid feed cost squeeze | Philippine beef demand is set to rise into 2026..Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 16/12/2025

SE Asia Report: Indonesia’s shrinking herd underscores rising reliance on Australian live cattle

Indonesia’s beef herd has collapsed by a third since 2022, reinforcing demand for Australian live cattle | Feeder prices in northern Australia surged to $4.50/kg, the fastest rise in years | Vietnam and Philippines steady, but typhoon season is causing disruption…Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 13/11/2025

SE Asia Report: Indonesia eyes FMD-free status in east by 2026

Indonesia bids for FMD-free status in nine eastern provinces, but 2026 looks ambitious given weak surveillance and vaccination | Vietnam tightens wastewater rules and pushes VAT reforms to ease feed costs | Philippines expands buffalo meat imports..Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 10/10/2025

SE Asia Report: From Jakarta to Hanoi – Contrasting fortunes for our northern neighbours

Indonesia’s demand is holding strong, supported by stable prices and new programs | Vietnam’s livestock herds are shrinking under import pressure and high feed costs | Australia’s disease-free status continues to underpin strong regional trust..Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 09/09/2025

SE Asia Report: Strong Indonesian demand meets modest progress on breeding goals

New room-temperature mRNA FMD vaccine could remove cold chain barriers | Strong signal from Indonesia: more halal beef needed for school meals program | Dairy herd target of one million by 2029 well above current import pace | Vietnam’s major pork firms grow despite ASF, beef sector still investing in scaling up..Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 14/08/2025

SE Asia Report: Policy moving faster than cattle in Southeast Asia

Across key importing countries, the first half of 2025 has seen governments take a more assertive stance on food security…Read More

Dr Michael Patching, 08/07/2025

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